National security
refers to how states protect themselves. “It is an unfortunate fact that we can only
secure peace by preparing for war” – U.S President. Armed conflicts are
destructive, thus states may face security threats, and so they prepare
themselves for defense.
Since the international system is anarchic –
no international government – so states are encouraged to rely on self help for
protection. So National Security (the country’s psychological freedom from fear
of foreign aggression) is utmost important in making of foreign policy.
1.
Compellence:
Compellence is a
method of “Coercive Diplomacy” involving the use of force or threat to use the
force against adversary to stop from doing an unwanted action or
unacceptable behavior or to implement a desired behavior. However the core instruments to achieve the
desired compellence are the use of “Military Force” and implementation of
“Social
and Economic Sanctions”
Few years back
the Iran
was advised by United States to stop working on Nuclear Warheads, since it is
global threat. However, Iran didn’t bother this warning and kept working on its
nuclear project. Resultantly United States implemented Economic Sanctions to
compel Iran to stop working on Warheads. Since the economy of Iran was relied
mostly on oil export, Iran faced tremendous economic turmoil because of so
sanctions. Nonetheless, lately Iran and United States signed a treaty for
Nuclear Program and the sanctions have been lifted.
In 2014 the Russia attacked and invaded Ukraine.
United States discouraged and implemented sanctions of Russia in order to
compel her to set Ukraine free. The Russia was left with no other option but to
set Ukraine free because the Russian economy is based on its exports mostly to
United Stated.
In 1990, another historical example was set when, Iraq
attacked Kuwait based on territorial conflict. The attack was condemned
by the world and United Nations asked Iraq to step back and set Kuwait free.
Since Iraq had then 4th largest military force so she refused to
comply with the so request. Eventually the United States sent her Military
force to fight with Iraqi and they succeeded to set Kuwait free.
In 1995, in a copyright infringement case U.S imposed 1
billion tariffs on selected imports of Chinese goods to discourage copyright
infringement. Since U.S noticed that about 29 factories were stealing the
digital copyright material of U.S and more than 70 million disks had been
produced and sold in the chine. However when Chinese didn’t bother this tariff,
the United States imposed Sanction on major imports to dissuade the country
from stealing copyright material.
2.
Deterrence:
Whereas the
compellence is an aggressive and offensive strategy to force the adversary to
change its behavior according to desired behavior with the help of force
(military), the deterrence dissuade the adversary from undertaking future action against
one’s homeland (central/direct deterrence) or against an ally (Extended
deterrence) thought the threat of retaliation.
The tension between India and Pakistan never reduced.
Since 1947 both the countries have fought two major wars in 1965 and 1971 but
still the problem is there. However, now Pakistan has become a nuclear power
and India is well aware of this fact that now the war would not be traditional
but nuclear and mutual destruction is assured. So Nuclear Power of Pakistan is
playing the role of deterrence for India since it is dissuading her from
attacking Pakistan. Pakistan has a great threat of India since she has always
been aggressive and offensive towards Pakistan. So to maintain the balance of
power or in the view of Neorealist “balance of terror”,
Pakistan has to make its defense stronger and enhance its nuclear capabilities.
Deterrence
by Denial:
Nuclear Utilization and Target
Selection (NUTS) is a strategy contrary to “MAD” which
claims that it is possible to wage and win limited nuclear war. One country can
target and destroy adversary’s nuclear warheads (arsenal) and could achieve the
victory without the fear of Mutual Assured Destruction. Howsoever, finding the
exact location of adversary’s warhead isn’t that easy as it seems and doing so
could lead to drastic results.
The Strategic
Defense Initiative (SDI) also known as Star war was a program first
initiated on March 1983 by U.S President Ronald Reagan. The intention of this
program was to develop sophisticated Anti-Ballistic Missile System (ABM) in
order to prevent missile attack from other countries, especially from Soviet
Union during the cold war arena. However due to budgetary constraints the
project was then set-aside.
Deterrence
by Punishment:
MAD Mutual Assured Destruction stresses
that nuclear weapons have revolutionized deterrence and defense, because
nuclear weapon can cause catastrophic destruction. As such, countries with
nuclear weapon are discouraged from actually using them because they know the
mutual destruction would be assured, but they will continue to build their
arsenal in order to deter other from attacking.
Second Strike
Capability is a nuclear strategy that describes a country’s capability to
respond to a nuclear attack with powerful nuclear retaliation against attacker.
In current scenario the India is quite sure about the second-strike capability
of Pakistan hence would never try to attack because of so fear.
Cuba
Missile Cracking:
In 1962 the
Soviet Union was secretly building missile base in Cube, which was discovered
by U.S Spy plane. U.S president Kennedy announced at meeting with ExCom that
this must be dismantled and the same was communicated to Soviet Union. When
Soviet Union didn’t bother and continued to build the missile base, President
Kennedy made a direct call (hotlink) to Soviet Union President and warned that
the U.S will attack Cuba if the Missile Base will not be dismantled. However,
after cross-negotiation of weeks Soviet Union agreed to dismantle their missile
base in exchange of dismantling U.S missile base in Turkey.
Methods
of Launching Nuclear Warheads:
(i)
Inter-continental
Ballistic Missile (ICMB)
(ii)
Submarine
Launched Ballistic Missile (SLBM)
(iii)
Bomber
(Combat Aircraft)
(iv)
Multiple
Independently Targetable Reentry Vehicles (MIRV).
Characteristics
of Deterrence:
The key elements
of deterrence strategy based on preemptive threats are:
(i)
Capability.
(ii)
Credibility.
(iii)
Communication.
Advocates of deterrence
argue that “the deterrence will be succeeded if the cost of attack will be
communicated to challenger, assessed by challenger and believed by the
challenger” – Richard J. Harknett, Strategic Theorist.
Balance
of Terror:
The balance of
terror is the fear of nuclear retaliation. If one attacks on another nuclear
power, the other would strike back and this fear of nuclear retaliation is
deterrence. In case of Indo-Pak tension the fear of nuclear retaliation has
been prevented the war. Before nuclear bombs India has attacked on Pakistan a
couple of times. Pakistan has been showing tremendous patience since Indian
boarder commission have been taking place in terminally, violating the
sovereignty of Pakistan under Article 2(4) of United Nations charter.
Russia and America fought cold war from 1945 to 1991 and
finally ended the war. Some scholar attributes the peaceful end of cold war to
deterrence.
“The Noble Peace Prize should have gone to
the Atomic Bomb” – Schlesinger.
Neorealist philosophers
also support this issue of balance of terror. One country can only maintain
peace by balancing the level of terror i.e. by enhancing military and nuclear
power.
3.
Preemption:
It is a preemptive war/attack that refers to a military
action which is designed to fore-settle or to prevent future aggression. It is anticipatory
self-defense; it involves getting your retaliation first. It is an
alternative strategy to strategies such as “Deterrence, containment and
constructive engagement” as a mean of dealing with potential aggression. It
gained the importance after the American preemptive attack on Iran in 2003.
Bush Doctrine: America
could launch first strikes to defend itself from terrorist and countries that
support terrorists in order to prevent possible attacks before they occur.
There are many
scholars who supported this doctrine who are known as “Neo-Conservatives or Neo-Cons”.
Thought this doctrine goes against the Article 2(4) of UN charter that dissuade
any country from attacking another. However, Neo-Cons support this doctrine by
Article 51 of UN Charter that explains the conditions of self defense.
National
Security Strategy of United States:
(I)
Preemptive
(II)
Defense
"Traditional concept of deterrence will not work against terrorist enemies whose cowered tactics are wanton destruction and targeting of innocent, whose so-called soldiers seek martyrdom in death and whose most potent protection is statelessness."
4.
Defense:
Defense
is strategy that warns hostile powers might attack; agreements are unlikely
resistant, deterrence may not be credible so one should prepare itself for
defense because even diplomacy only works when backed by arms. If an aggressor
thinks that he will win, the chances of war are higher. Defense power is the ability to
repel an attack and to limit the destruction from aggression.
Defense
first serves as deterrence, if deterrence fails
then defense preserves the state, blunting the attacks and then counter attacks
to overthrow the attacker. In 1965 India attacked Pakistan and was unaware of
defense capabilities of Pakistan. However Pakistan retaliated so hard and
overthrown the India from homeland.
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